If the AP is playing heads-up, getting 200 rounds per hour, and is making a $100 wager on LL whenever the count indicates, then this AP will earn about $233.00 per hour playing against the LL wager using the INS count. In this case, the AP will make the LL bet on about 7.46% of his hands, and will have an average edge of about 15.62% over the house. The AP who uses the INS count against LL will make the LL bet whenever the running count is 15 or higher. Each simulation consisted of one hundred million (100,000,000) shoes.įor example, consider a double-deck game with the cut card placed at 75 cards. The following table gives statistics for using the INS count to play against LL. The AP plays the LL bet when the INS running count is greater than or equal to the trigger count. In this case, we are simply concerned with identifying trigger running counts. Again, we assume that no true count conversion is used. Now suppose that the INS count is used to target LL. Each simulation consisted of one hundred million (100,000,000) shoes. The following table gives statistics for using the INS count to play against Insurance. It gives perfect information as a running count alone. There is no true count conversion necessary when using this count. Although it is unbalanced, it is perfectly correlated with INS: the counter takes insurance whenever the running count is 4*D + 1 or higher, where D = number of decks. The following table gives the statistics for LL for various numbers of decks: To review, the following table gives the payouts for LL for various numbers of decks: In the event the player is dealt a pair of Queen of Hearts, the dealer’s hand is also evaluated. The LL side bet pays based on the first two cards dealt to the player. This post addresses the value of using the INS count to target LL. A count that I did not consider is the one analyzed in this blog post that is primarily used to target the Insurance (INS) side bet. As noted in that post, any count that distinguishes face from non-face cards will be very effective against LL.

I covered card counting the Lucky Ladies side bet in this blog post. Lucky Ladies (LL) is a blackjack side bet that pays for any player 20, with premium payouts for suited or matched 20’s and a top pay for a pair of Queen of Hearts.

Blackjack side bet odds lucky ladies